In Daniel Kahneman's book "Thinking , Fast and Slow," he says that we should not rely on intuition because it is clouded by our miss-judgment and perceptions. We want a certain results and when we look back on a situation, we think and claim that our view is correct and we use all the circumstantial elements to support our arguments and our claim. For example, in the Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots 2015 super bowl where it ended in the Patriot's winning, when we look back on it, we can all see why the patriots would win and why the Seattle Seahawks should loose. However, we still cannot make the predictions going forward.
Thus, Daniel Kahneman advises us to use what Paul Mills (I could not google search this) statistical algorithm to help us make better decisions, instead of intuitions. If we incorporate 5-6 statistical algorithm in our decision making process, that would give us the ability to make a good decision regarding a certain matter.